CAR Prepares for the Ballot Box as President Seeks a Third Term

This Sunday, the Central African Republic will conduct a pivotal quadruple election, encompassing the presidential race, parliament, and local offices.

A Crowded Race for the Presidency

A field of seven contenders are vying for the presidency, among them former prime ministers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. The two were given approval to run by the high court after initial bans. Dologuélé was the runner-up in the last two elections, while Dondra had a short tenure under the current president.

Challengers' Strategy and Voter Frustrations

The opposition aims to capitalize on widespread frustration in a country where conflict remains a daily reality. More than half a million people are internally displaced, with a similar number living as exiles in neighbouring countries.

"This represents an opportunity to acknowledge the remarkable recovery of the nation," noted a UN regional official, though he added that obstacles persist.

The Incumbent's Path

Despite the challenges, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a one-time academic, is largely predicted to extend his run. He transitioned into politics in 2008 when appointed prime minister, holding the post until a insurgent alliance toppled the government in 2013, sparking a sectarian conflict.

After a chaotic transition period, his perceived impartiality from the main militias powered his second-round victory in 2016.

Security Concerns and Logistical Hurdles

Concerns persist that logistical problems and insecurity could disrupt the vote, especially in the countryside. The UN peacekeeping mission, Minusca, is providing protection and logistical support that the country's weak systems cannot manage.

Further issues involve the voter list being made available only digitally, a significant barrier in a nation with scarce online access. These irregularities have prompted an electoral boycott and could, as noted by analysts, "disenfranchise large segments of the population."

Implications of Extended Rule

Many residents fear that another term for Touadéra—made possible by a 2023 constitutional referendum that abolished term limits and extended mandates—would mean greater influence for foreign actors.

The president has put faith in the private military group Wagner for personal security, and despite its founder's death, has resisted calls to integrate its fighters into a new structure. In contrast, Rwanda has taken a separate strategy, focusing on business interests within CAR.

Claims of National Disposal

Allegations have stated the government removed its own soldiers from a World Bank-funded facility to accommodate a Rwandan livestock operation. A critical commentary accused the leadership of being "determined to sell off the country piece by piece."

Despite a recent peace accord with armed factions offering hope of stabilization, the vote moves forward under a cloud of doubt and geopolitical competition.