Skipper Pat Cummins has admitted that his involvement in the opening Ashes Test appears unlikely due to persistent injury concerns.
Media speculation from Australia had indicated that Cummins might miss the whole series, though the pace bowler himself has now given a more detailed update on his situation.
The veteran cricketer has been struggling with a back stress injury that has kept him sidelined since his last competitive match in July.
Although Cummins has restarted running exercises, he has yet to commence bowling as part of his rehabilitation program.
"I wouldn't put a percentage on it, but I'd say probably more doubtful than certain," stated Cummins. "My bowling preparation begins next week, so probably a couple of weeks away from wearing the spikes and bowling out on turf."
Team mentor Andrew McDonald had earlier suggested that Cummins would need a minimum of four weeks of net sessions to have any chance of featuring in the first Test, scheduled to begin on November 21.
Cummins echoed this assessment, clarifying: "It's necessary to have at least approximately a month in the nets. If you play a Test match, you want to make certain you're capable to bowl 20 overs in a day without concern."
Given the tight timeframe, there are also doubts about Cummins' availability for the second Test in Brisbane on December 4.
Should Cummins be unavailable, former skipper Steve Smith is likely to captain the side, with Scott Boland possibly filling the gap in the bowling attack.
Australia have held the Ashes urn since 2018, while England are without a Test victory in Australia since 2011.
Cummins' current injury concerns echo challenges from earlier in his distinguished career. He made his Test first appearance as an 18-year-old in 2011 against South Africa, becoming the second-youngest player to take a five-for in an innings at that time.
However, his impressive debut proved to be a false dawn, as Cummins endured six years before his next match due to multiple stress fractures in his lower back.
When healthy, Cummins has proven himself as one of cricket's premier fast bowlers. The 32-year-old has taken 309 Test wickets at an remarkable average of 22.10.
His record in home conditions is even more formidable, with 177 wickets at 19.92, while he has claimed 91 wickets against England in just 19 matches.
In the latest Ashes series in 2023, Cummins played in all five Tests, taking 18 wickets and establishing his importance to the Australian side.
As captain, Cummins enjoyed a glorious 2023, taking six wickets in Australia's victorious World Test Championship final and starring in their 50-over World Cup final victory against India.
He remains the only leader in Test history to win the World Test Championship, World Cup, and an Ashes series.
England also face their own fitness worries with captain Ben Stokes, who has been troubled by a shoulder injury since the Test series against India.
Both teams will be monitoring their key players closely as the highly anticipated Ashes series nears.
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